New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins 9/23/2012
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Expect a close game with the New York Jets winning 49% of simulations, and the Miami Dolphins 50% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New York Jets commit fewer turnovers in 47% of simulations and they go on to win 75% when they take care of the ball. The Miami Dolphins wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Shonn Greene is averaging 58 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. Reggie Bush is averaging 71 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 74%.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| New York Jets | ATS RECORD | Miami Dolphins | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 5-2-0 | All Games | 3-3-0 | New York Jets |
| Road Games | 2-1-0 | Home Games | 1-2-0 | New York Jets |
| When Favored | 3-0-0 | When Underdog | 3-2-0 | New York Jets |
| Division Opp | 3-0-0 | Division Opp | 0-1-0 | New York Jets |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-1-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-0-0 | Miami Dolphins |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| New York Jets | ATS RECORD | Miami Dolphins | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 7-9-0 | All Games | 9-7-0 | Miami Dolphins |
| Road Games | 3-5-0 | Home Games | 3-5-0 | No Edge |
| When Favored | 5-6-0 | When Underdog | 5-5-0 | Miami Dolphins |
| Division Opp | 3-3-0 | Division Opp | 3-3-0 | No Edge |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 6-2-0 | Miami Dolphins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Jets | O-U-P RECORD | Miami Dolphins | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-2-2 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-3-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 2-1-0 | At Home | 2-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 10-6-0 | All Totals Last Season | 4-11-1 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 5-3-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-5-1 | UNDER |
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