October 25, 2012 3:10 PM UTC

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts 9/23/2012

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The Indianapolis Colts are a solid favorite with a 61% chance to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars. Donald Brown is projected for 53 rushing yards and a 31% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 38% of simulations where Jacksonville Jaguars wins, Blaine Gabbert averages 0.98 TD passes vs 0.34 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.66 TDs to 0.6 interceptions. Maurice Jones-Drew averages 123 rushing yards and 0.76 rushing TDs when Jacksonville Jaguars wins and 87 yards and 0.33 TDs in losses. The Indianapolis Colts has a 36% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Jacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-3-0All Games3-3-0Indianapolis Colts
Road Games3-0-0Home Games3-1-0Jacksonville Jaguars
When Underdog3-3-0When Favored1-1-0Indianapolis Colts
Division Opp1-1-0Division Opp0-1-0Jacksonville Jaguars
Opp .500+ Record1-3-0Opp Under .5001-2-0Indianapolis Colts

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Jacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games6-10-0Jacksonville Jaguars
Road Games3-5-0Home Games3-5-0No Edge
When Underdog5-9-0When Favored0-1-0Jacksonville Jaguars
Division Opp4-2-0Division Opp2-4-0Jacksonville Jaguars
Opp Under .5002-3-0Opp Under .5000-4-0Jacksonville Jaguars

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Jacksonville JaguarsO-U-P RECORDIndianapolis ColtsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-3-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-3-1UNDER
On Road2-1-0At Home1-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5-11-0All Totals Last Season7-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-6-0At Home Last Season3-5-0UNDER

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