February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

New York Giants vs Carolina Panthers 9/22/2013

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Expect a close game with the New York Giants winning 56% of simulations, and the Carolina Panthers 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New York Giants commit fewer turnovers in 43% of simulations and they go on to win 82% when they take care of the ball. The Carolina Panthers wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Eli Manning is averaging 255 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. DeAngelo Williams is averaging 61 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 62%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New York GiantsATS RECORDCarolina PanthersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games9-7-1Carolina Panthers
Road Games4-4-0Home Games6-2-0Carolina Panthers
When Underdog3-6-0When Favored7-4-1Carolina Panthers
Non-Division Opp4-6-0Non-Division Opp5-5-1Carolina Panthers
Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Opp Under .5005-1-1Carolina Panthers

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New York GiantsATS RECORDCarolina PanthersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games9-7-0Carolina Panthers
Road Games3-5-0Home Games3-5-0No Edge
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored2-4-0New York Giants
Non-Division Opp5-5-0Non-Division Opp5-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .5002-2-0Opp .500+ Record3-4-0New York Giants

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York GiantsO-U-P RECORDCarolina PanthersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-10-0All Totals (O-U-P)5-12-0UNDER
On Road3-5-0At Home2-7-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5-10-1All Totals Last Season8-7-1UNDER
On Road Last Season1-6-1At Home Last Season3-4-1UNDER

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