Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers 2/3/2013
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This game is a virtual coin flip. Both defenses are holding the starting RBs to 3.6 ypc and under 65 yards per sim. And both QBs are completing under 60% of their passes and averaging just 1.3 passing TDs per sim. Kaepernick is averaging 37 rushing yards per sim. When he has 35 or more rushing yards the 49ers win 68% of the time. When held under 35 rushing yards the 49ers win 43% of the simulations. If the Ravens rush for more yards than the 49ers Baltimore is the 78% favorite.\n\nJoe Flacco has 8 TDs and 0 INTs in the playoffs. There is a 20% chance that he has 2 or more TDs with 0 INTs and if he does the Ravens are a solid 67% favorite. But if Flacco has even 1 INT the Ravens are 35% underdogs. The Ravens offensive line is massively improved in the playoffs vs the regular season. If the 49ers can overwhelm the Ravens O-Line and sack Flacco 3 or more times the 49ers are 64% favorites and there is a 48% chance of this scenario. But with 2 or less sacks the Ravens win 57% of the sims.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Baltimore Ravens | ATS RECORD | San Francisco 49ers | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 9-9-1 | All Games | 10-6-1 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Road Games | 5-4-1 | Home Games | 5-3-1 | San Francisco 49ers |
| When Underdog | 4-4-0 | When Favored | 8-5-1 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Non-Division Opp | 7-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 9-2-1 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-6-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 7-3-0 | San Francisco 49ers |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Baltimore Ravens | ATS RECORD | San Francisco 49ers | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 8-7-1 | All Games | 12-3-1 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Road Games | 4-4-0 | Home Games | 7-0-0 | San Francisco 49ers |
| When Underdog | 1-0-0 | When Favored | 9-2-0 | Baltimore Ravens |
| Non-Division Opp | 4-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 8-1-1 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-0-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 6-1-0 | Baltimore Ravens |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Ravens | O-U-P RECORD | San Francisco 49ers | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 10-8-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 10-7-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 4-6-0 | At Home | 5-3-0 | No Edge |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-7-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-9-0 | No Edge |
| On Road Last Season | 5-3-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-4-0 | OVER |
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