January 22, 2013 5:38 PM UTC

Baltimore Ravens vs San Francisco 49ers 2/3/2013

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This game is a virtual coin flip. Both defenses are holding the starting RBs to 3.6 ypc and under 65 yards per sim. And both QBs are completing under 60% of their passes and averaging just 1.3 passing TDs per sim. Kaepernick is averaging 37 rushing yards per sim. When he has 35 or more rushing yards the 49ers win 68% of the time. When held under 35 rushing yards the 49ers win 43% of the simulations. If the Ravens rush for more yards than the 49ers Baltimore is the 78% favorite.\n\nJoe Flacco has 8 TDs and 0 INTs in the playoffs. There is a 20% chance that he has 2 or more TDs with 0 INTs and if he does the Ravens are a solid 67% favorite. But if Flacco has even 1 INT the Ravens are 35% underdogs. The Ravens offensive line is massively improved in the playoffs vs the regular season. If the 49ers can overwhelm the Ravens O-Line and sack Flacco 3 or more times the 49ers are 64% favorites and there is a 48% chance of this scenario. But with 2 or less sacks the Ravens win 57% of the sims.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Baltimore RavensATS RECORDSan Francisco 49ersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-9-1All Games10-6-1San Francisco 49ers
Road Games5-4-1Home Games5-3-1San Francisco 49ers
When Underdog4-4-0When Favored8-5-1San Francisco 49ers
Non-Division Opp7-6-0Non-Division Opp9-2-1San Francisco 49ers
Opp .500+ Record1-6-1Opp .500+ Record7-3-0San Francisco 49ers

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Baltimore RavensATS RECORDSan Francisco 49ersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-7-1All Games12-3-1San Francisco 49ers
Road Games4-4-0Home Games7-0-0San Francisco 49ers
When Underdog1-0-0When Favored9-2-0Baltimore Ravens
Non-Division Opp4-6-0Non-Division Opp8-1-1San Francisco 49ers
Opp .500+ Record4-0-1Opp .500+ Record6-1-0Baltimore Ravens

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Baltimore RavensO-U-P RECORDSan Francisco 49ersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)10-8-1All Totals (O-U-P)10-7-0OVER
On Road4-6-0At Home5-3-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season9-7-0All Totals Last Season7-9-0No Edge
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season4-4-0OVER

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