December 30, 2012 10:52 AM UTC

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos 12/30/2012

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The Denver Broncos are a heavy favorite winning 86% of simulations over the Kansas City Chiefs. Peyton Manning is averaging 276 passing yards and 2.6 TDs per simulation and Knowshon Moreno is projected for 88 rushing yards and a 41% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 13% of simulations where Kansas City Chiefs wins, Brady Quinn averages 0.94 TD passes vs 0.72 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.62 TDs to 1.47 interceptions. Jamaal Charles averages 114 rushing yards and 0.76 rushing TDs when Kansas City Chiefs wins and 74 yards and 0.3 TDs in losses. Denver Broncos has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 95% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-10-0All Games9-6-0Denver Broncos
Road Games2-5-0Home Games4-3-0Denver Broncos
When Underdog5-9-0When Favored8-3-0Denver Broncos
Division Opp1-4-0Division Opp3-2-0Denver Broncos
Opp .500+ Record3-1-0Opp Under .5005-2-0Kansas City Chiefs

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-7-0All Games8-9-0Kansas City Chiefs
Road Games5-3-0Home Games2-7-0Kansas City Chiefs
When Underdog9-4-0When Favored1-5-0Kansas City Chiefs
Division Opp4-2-0Division Opp3-3-0Kansas City Chiefs
Opp .500+ Record6-3-0Opp Under .5003-0-0Denver Broncos

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-9-0All Totals (O-U-P)10-5-0OVER
On Road3-4-0At Home5-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season4-12-0All Totals Last Season9-7-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3-5-0At Home Last Season5-3-0No Edge

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