December 30, 2012 10:52 AM UTC

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans 12/30/2012

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Expect a close game with the Jacksonville Jaguars winning 52% of simulations, and the Tennessee Titans 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Jacksonville Jaguars commit fewer turnovers in 54% of simulations and they go on to win 69% when they take care of the ball. The Tennessee Titans wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Montell Owens is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (20% chance) then he helps his team win 71%. Chris Johnson is averaging 61 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (22% chance) then he helps his team win 71%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Jacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDTennessee TitansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-8-0All Games5-10-0Jacksonville Jaguars
Road Games5-2-0Home Games3-4-0Jacksonville Jaguars
When Underdog7-8-0When Favored1-2-0Jacksonville Jaguars
Division Opp3-2-0Division Opp0-5-0Jacksonville Jaguars
Opp Under .5002-4-0Opp Under .5001-1-0Tennessee Titans

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Jacksonville JaguarsATS RECORDTennessee TitansATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games7-8-1Tennessee Titans
Road Games3-5-0Home Games3-5-1No Edge
When Underdog5-9-0When Favored2-6-1Jacksonville Jaguars
Division Opp4-2-0Division Opp1-4-1Jacksonville Jaguars
Opp .500+ Record2-6-0Opp Under .5004-1-0Tennessee Titans

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Jacksonville JaguarsO-U-P RECORDTennessee TitansO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-9-0All Totals (O-U-P)8-7-0UNDER
On Road4-3-0At Home3-4-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season5-11-0All Totals Last Season6-10-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-6-0At Home Last Season3-5-0UNDER

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