December 30, 2012 10:52 AM UTC

Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts 12/30/2012

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The Houston Texans are a solid favorite with a 69% chance to beat the Indianapolis Colts. Arian Foster is projected for 104 rushing yards and a 56% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 30% of simulations where Indianapolis Colts wins, Andrew Luck averages 1.52 TD passes vs 0.67 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.08 TDs to 1.25 interceptions. Vick Ballard averages 72 rushing yards and 0.43 rushing TDs when Indianapolis Colts wins and 50 yards and 0.2 TDs in losses. The Houston Texans has a 64% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 83% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Houston TexansATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-5-1All Games10-5-0Indianapolis Colts
Road Games4-2-1Home Games6-1-0Indianapolis Colts
When Favored8-4-1When Underdog5-4-0Houston Texans
Division Opp4-1-0Division Opp3-2-0Houston Texans
Opp .500+ Record4-2-0Opp .500+ Record3-2-0Houston Texans

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Houston TexansATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games10-6-1All Games6-10-0Houston Texans
Road Games5-3-0Home Games3-5-0Houston Texans
When Favored7-4-0When Underdog6-9-0Houston Texans
Division Opp4-1-1Division Opp2-4-0Houston Texans
Opp Under .5004-1-0Opp .500+ Record5-4-0Houston Texans

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Houston TexansO-U-P RECORDIndianapolis ColtsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)7-7-1All Totals (O-U-P)5-9-1UNDER
On Road3-3-1At Home2-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6-10-0All Totals Last Season7-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season3-5-0UNDER

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