December 30, 2012 10:52 AM UTC

Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Redskins 12/30/2012

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Expect a close game with the Dallas Cowboys winning 49% of simulations, and the Washington Redskins 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Dallas Cowboys commit fewer turnovers in 24% of simulations and they go on to win 83% when they take care of the ball. The Washington Redskins wins 62% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tony Romo is averaging 321 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (39% chance) then he helps his team win 56%. Robert Griffin III is averaging 252 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (42% chance) then he helps his team win 50%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Dallas CowboysATS RECORDWashington RedskinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-9-0All Games10-5-0Washington Redskins
Road Games5-2-0Home Games4-3-0Dallas Cowboys
When Underdog3-2-0When Favored3-3-0Dallas Cowboys
Division Opp2-3-0Division Opp5-0-0Washington Redskins
Opp .500+ Record3-4-0Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Washington Redskins

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Dallas CowboysATS RECORDWashington RedskinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-10-1All Games7-9-0Washington Redskins
Road Games3-4-1Home Games3-5-0Dallas Cowboys
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored1-2-0Dallas Cowboys
Division Opp0-6-0Division Opp4-2-0Washington Redskins
Opp Under .5002-5-0Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Washington Redskins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Dallas CowboysO-U-P RECORDWashington RedskinsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)8-6-1OVER
On Road2-5-0At Home3-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6-10-0All Totals Last Season7-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season3-5-0At Home Last Season5-3-0No Edge

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