Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals 12/30/2012
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Expect a close game with the Baltimore Ravens winning 43% of simulations, and the Cincinnati Bengals 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Baltimore Ravens commit fewer turnovers in 42% of simulations and they go on to win 69% when they take care of the ball. The Cincinnati Bengals wins 77% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Bernard Pierce is averaging 62 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (18% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is averaging 61 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 74%.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Baltimore Ravens | ATS RECORD | Cincinnati Bengals | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-8-1 | All Games | 8-6-1 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Road Games | 3-3-1 | Home Games | 2-4-0 | Baltimore Ravens |
| When Underdog | 2-3-0 | When Favored | 5-4-1 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Division Opp | 2-2-1 | Division Opp | 1-3-1 | Baltimore Ravens |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-6-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-2-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Baltimore Ravens | ATS RECORD | Cincinnati Bengals | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 8-7-1 | All Games | 9-6-2 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Road Games | 4-4-0 | Home Games | 3-5-2 | Baltimore Ravens |
| When Underdog | 1-0-0 | When Favored | 4-3-1 | Baltimore Ravens |
| Division Opp | 4-1-1 | Division Opp | 1-4-1 | Baltimore Ravens |
| Opp .500+ Record | 4-0-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-4-1 | Baltimore Ravens |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Baltimore Ravens | O-U-P RECORD | Cincinnati Bengals | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 9-5-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-9-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 3-4-0 | At Home | 2-5-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-7-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-6-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 5-3-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-3-0 | OVER |
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