February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys 12/29/2013

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Expect a close game with the Philadelphia Eagles winning 57% of simulations, and the Dallas Cowboys 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Philadelphia Eagles commit fewer turnovers in 81% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. The Dallas Cowboys wins 79% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Nick Foles is averaging 253 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Kyle Orton is averaging 262 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (30% chance) then he helps his team win 51%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Philadelphia EaglesATS RECORDDallas CowboysATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-8-1All Games9-7-0Dallas Cowboys
Road Games5-3-0Home Games5-3-0No Edge
When Favored4-7-1When Underdog6-2-0Dallas Cowboys
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp5-1-0Dallas Cowboys
Opp .500+ Record2-3-1Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Dallas Cowboys

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Philadelphia EaglesATS RECORDDallas CowboysATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-12-0All Games6-10-0Dallas Cowboys
Road Games3-5-0Home Games1-7-0Philadelphia Eagles
When Favored1-5-0When Underdog3-3-0Dallas Cowboys
Division Opp2-4-0Division Opp2-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Opp Under .5002-4-0No Edge

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Philadelphia EaglesO-U-P RECORDDallas CowboysO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)9-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0OVER
On Road6-2-0At Home4-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season9-7-0All Totals Last Season9-7-0OVER
On Road Last Season2-6-0At Home Last Season6-2-0No Edge

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