February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears 12/29/2013

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Expect a close game with the Green Bay Packers winning 48% of simulations, and the Chicago Bears 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Green Bay Packers commit fewer turnovers in 47% of simulations and they go on to win 69% when they take care of the ball. The Chicago Bears wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Aaron Rodgers is averaging 257 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35% chance) then he helps his team win 61%. Jay Cutler is averaging 267 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (30% chance) then he helps his team win 61%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Green Bay PackersATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games4-10-2Green Bay Packers
Road Games4-4-0Home Games1-5-0Green Bay Packers
When Favored6-5-0When Underdog1-8-0Green Bay Packers
Division Opp3-2-0Division Opp1-5-0Green Bay Packers
Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Green Bay Packers

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Green Bay PackersATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-7-0All Games7-9-0Green Bay Packers
Road Games4-4-0Home Games3-5-0Green Bay Packers
When Favored8-6-0When Underdog1-3-0Green Bay Packers
Division Opp5-1-0Division Opp1-5-0Green Bay Packers
Opp .500+ Record6-2-0Opp .500+ Record3-5-0Green Bay Packers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Green Bay PackersO-U-P RECORDChicago BearsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)11-4-1OVER
On Road6-2-0At Home5-2-1OVER
All Totals Last Season8-8-0All Totals Last Season9-7-0OVER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season3-5-0UNDER

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