February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots 12/29/2013

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The New England Patriots are a solid favorite with a 75% chance to beat the Buffalo Bills. Stevan Ridley is projected for 73 rushing yards and a 46% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 25% of simulations where Buffalo Bills wins, Thaddeus Lewis averages 1.43 TD passes vs 0.4 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.95 TDs to 0.79 interceptions. C.J. Spiller averages 55 rushing yards and 0.33 rushing TDs when Buffalo Bills wins and 38 yards and 0.14 TDs in losses. The New England Patriots has a 45% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Buffalo BillsATS RECORDNew England PatriotsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-8-0All Games9-9-0New England Patriots
Road Games2-6-0Home Games7-2-0New England Patriots
When Underdog7-7-0When Favored6-6-0Buffalo Bills
Division Opp4-2-0Division Opp2-4-0Buffalo Bills
Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Opp Under .5003-2-0New England Patriots

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Buffalo BillsATS RECORDNew England PatriotsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games9-7-0New England Patriots
Road Games3-5-0Home Games4-4-0New England Patriots
When Underdog2-7-0When Favored8-7-0New England Patriots
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp3-3-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Opp Under .5002-2-0New England Patriots

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Buffalo BillsO-U-P RECORDNew England PatriotsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)10-6-0All Totals (O-U-P)10-8-0OVER
On Road6-2-0At Home6-3-0OVER
All Totals Last Season9-7-0All Totals Last Season12-4-0OVER
On Road Last Season3-5-0At Home Last Season7-1-0OVER

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