February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers 12/23/2013

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The San Francisco 49ers are a heavy favorite winning 82% of simulations over the Atlanta Falcons. Colin Kaepernick is averaging 244 passing yards and 1.8 TDs per simulation and Frank Gore is projected for 62 rushing yards and a 47% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 18% of simulations where Atlanta Falcons wins, Matt Ryan averages 2 TD passes vs 0.55 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.38 TDs to 1.11 interceptions. Steven Jackson averages 38 rushing yards and 0.29 rushing TDs when Atlanta Falcons wins and 22 yards and 0.11 TDs in losses. San Francisco 49ers has a 94% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 84% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Atlanta FalconsATS RECORDSan Francisco 49ersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-9-1All Games13-6-0San Francisco 49ers
Road Games3-5-0Home Games4-4-0San Francisco 49ers
When Underdog5-6-0When Favored12-4-0San Francisco 49ers
Non-Division Opp3-6-1Non-Division Opp9-3-0San Francisco 49ers
Opp .500+ Record1-5-1Opp Under .5005-0-0San Francisco 49ers

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Atlanta FalconsATS RECORDSan Francisco 49ersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-6-1All Games9-7-0Atlanta Falcons
Road Games5-2-1Home Games4-4-0Atlanta Falcons
When Underdog2-0-0When Favored7-6-0Atlanta Falcons
Non-Division Opp8-2-0Non-Division Opp8-2-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record5-0-1Opp .500+ Record7-3-0Atlanta Falcons

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Atlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDSan Francisco 49ersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)9-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)8-10-1OVER
On Road4-4-0At Home3-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5-11-0All Totals Last Season8-7-0UNDER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season4-3-0OVER

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