February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers 12/22/2013

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Expect a close game with the Pittsburgh Steelers winning 53% of simulations, and the Green Bay Packers 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Pittsburgh Steelers commit fewer turnovers in 37% of simulations and they go on to win 78% when they take care of the ball. The Green Bay Packers wins 62% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Ben Roethlisberger is averaging 267 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (35% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. Eddie Lacy is averaging 68 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 70%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Pittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDGreen Bay PackersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-7-0All Games7-9-0Pittsburgh Steelers
Road Games4-4-0Home Games3-5-0Pittsburgh Steelers
When Underdog6-3-0When Favored6-5-0Pittsburgh Steelers
Non-Division Opp4-6-0Non-Division Opp4-7-0Pittsburgh Steelers
Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Opp Under .5002-3-0Pittsburgh Steelers

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Pittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDGreen Bay PackersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-9-1All Games9-7-0Green Bay Packers
Road Games3-5-0Home Games5-3-0Green Bay Packers
When Underdog3-2-1When Favored8-6-0Pittsburgh Steelers
Non-Division Opp3-7-0Non-Division Opp4-6-0Green Bay Packers
Opp .500+ Record4-2-1Opp .500+ Record6-2-0Green Bay Packers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh SteelersO-U-P RECORDGreen Bay PackersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0OVER
On Road4-4-0At Home2-6-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season7-9-0All Totals Last Season8-8-0UNDER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season4-4-0OVER

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