February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens 12/22/2013

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The Baltimore Ravens are a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat the New England Patriots. Ray Rice is projected for 48 rushing yards and a 26% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 34% of simulations where New England Patriots wins, Tom Brady averages 1.39 TD passes vs 0.72 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.89 TDs to 1.23 interceptions. Stevan Ridley averages 64 rushing yards and 0.6 rushing TDs when New England Patriots wins and 39 yards and 0.25 TDs in losses. The Baltimore Ravens has a 74% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 77% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New England PatriotsATS RECORDBaltimore RavensATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-9-0All Games6-9-1New England Patriots
Road Games2-7-0Home Games4-4-1Baltimore Ravens
When Underdog3-3-0When Favored2-5-0New England Patriots
Non-Division Opp7-5-0Non-Division Opp4-5-1New England Patriots
Opp .500+ Record3-5-0Opp .500+ Record5-1-1Baltimore Ravens

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New England PatriotsATS RECORDBaltimore RavensATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-7-0All Games6-9-1New England Patriots
Road Games5-3-0Home Games3-5-1New England Patriots
When Underdog1-0-0When Favored4-5-1New England Patriots
Non-Division Opp6-4-0Non-Division Opp4-6-0New England Patriots
Opp .500+ Record5-4-0Opp .500+ Record1-6-1New England Patriots

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New England PatriotsO-U-P RECORDBaltimore RavensO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)10-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-8-1OVER
On Road4-5-0At Home3-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season12-4-0All Totals Last Season10-5-1OVER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season6-1-1OVER

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