Cincinnati Bengals vs San Diego Chargers 12/2/2012
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Expect a close game with the Cincinnati Bengals winning 45% of simulations, and the San Diego Chargers 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Cincinnati Bengals commit fewer turnovers in 51% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. The San Diego Chargers wins 79% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is averaging 58 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. Philip Rivers is averaging 270 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (31% chance) then he helps his team win 67%.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Cincinnati Bengals | ATS RECORD | San Diego Chargers | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-5-1 | All Games | 5-7-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Road Games | 4-2-0 | Home Games | 2-4-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| When Favored | 4-3-1 | When Underdog | 2-4-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Non-Division Opp | 6-2-0 | Non-Division Opp | 1-6-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Opp Under .500 | 4-3-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 1-4-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Cincinnati Bengals | ATS RECORD | San Diego Chargers | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 9-6-2 | All Games | 6-10-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Road Games | 6-1-2 | Home Games | 3-5-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| When Favored | 4-3-1 | When Underdog | 2-5-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Non-Division Opp | 8-2-1 | Non-Division Opp | 4-6-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-4-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 1-7-0 | Cincinnati Bengals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Cincinnati Bengals | O-U-P RECORD | San Diego Chargers | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-7-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-5-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 3-3-0 | At Home | 3-3-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 10-6-0 | All Totals Last Season | 8-8-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 5-3-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-6-0 | UNDER |
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