December 03, 2012 4:29 PM UTC

Cincinnati Bengals vs San Diego Chargers 12/2/2012

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Expect a close game with the Cincinnati Bengals winning 45% of simulations, and the San Diego Chargers 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Cincinnati Bengals commit fewer turnovers in 51% of simulations and they go on to win 66% when they take care of the ball. The San Diego Chargers wins 79% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. BenJarvus Green-Ellis is averaging 58 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. Philip Rivers is averaging 270 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (31% chance) then he helps his team win 67%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Cincinnati BengalsATS RECORDSan Diego ChargersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-5-1All Games5-7-0Cincinnati Bengals
Road Games4-2-0Home Games2-4-0Cincinnati Bengals
When Favored4-3-1When Underdog2-4-0Cincinnati Bengals
Non-Division Opp6-2-0Non-Division Opp1-6-0Cincinnati Bengals
Opp Under .5004-3-1Opp .500+ Record1-4-0Cincinnati Bengals

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Cincinnati BengalsATS RECORDSan Diego ChargersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-6-2All Games6-10-0Cincinnati Bengals
Road Games6-1-2Home Games3-5-0Cincinnati Bengals
When Favored4-3-1When Underdog2-5-0Cincinnati Bengals
Non-Division Opp8-2-1Non-Division Opp4-6-0Cincinnati Bengals
Opp .500+ Record2-4-1Opp .500+ Record1-7-0Cincinnati Bengals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati BengalsO-U-P RECORDSan Diego ChargersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)5-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-5-0OVER
On Road3-3-0At Home3-3-0OVER
All Totals Last Season10-6-0All Totals Last Season8-8-0OVER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season2-6-0UNDER

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