February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Kansas City Chiefs vs Oakland Raiders 12/15/2013

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Expect a close game with the Kansas City Chiefs winning 59% of simulations, and the Oakland Raiders 41% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Kansas City Chiefs commit fewer turnovers in 51% of simulations and they go on to win 78% when they take care of the ball. The Oakland Raiders wins 62% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jamaal Charles is averaging 102 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 79%. Rashad Jennings is averaging 76 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 65%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDOakland RaidersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games10-7-0All Games7-9-0Kansas City Chiefs
Road Games8-1-0Home Games3-5-0Kansas City Chiefs
When Favored7-5-0When Underdog6-7-0Kansas City Chiefs
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp1-5-0Kansas City Chiefs
Opp Under .5005-3-0Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Kansas City Chiefs

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Kansas City ChiefsATS RECORDOakland RaidersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-11-0All Games5-11-0No Edge
Road Games2-6-0Home Games2-6-0No Edge
When Favored0-1-0When Underdog4-7-0Oakland Raiders
Division Opp1-5-0Division Opp3-3-0Oakland Raiders
Opp Under .5002-7-0Opp Under .5002-6-0Oakland Raiders

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Kansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDOakland RaidersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-9-0All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0UNDER
On Road5-4-0At Home3-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season7-9-0All Totals Last Season6-9-1UNDER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season3-4-1UNDER

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