February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers 12/15/2013

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Expect a close game with the Cincinnati Bengals winning 45% of simulations, and the Pittsburgh Steelers 55% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Cincinnati Bengals commit fewer turnovers in 62% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. The Pittsburgh Steelers wins 79% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Giovani Bernard is averaging 52 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (20% chance) then he helps his team win 69%. Le\'Veon Bell is averaging 79 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 78%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Cincinnati BengalsATS RECORDPittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games10-6-1All Games9-7-0Cincinnati Bengals
Road Games2-5-1Home Games5-3-0Pittsburgh Steelers
When Favored7-6-0When Underdog6-3-0Pittsburgh Steelers
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp5-1-0Pittsburgh Steelers
Opp Under .5003-5-0Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Pittsburgh Steelers

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Cincinnati BengalsATS RECORDPittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-6-1All Games6-9-1Cincinnati Bengals
Road Games6-2-0Home Games3-4-0Cincinnati Bengals
When Favored6-4-1When Underdog3-2-1No Edge
Division Opp2-3-1Division Opp3-2-1Pittsburgh Steelers
Opp .500+ Record2-2-0Opp .500+ Record4-2-1Pittsburgh Steelers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati BengalsO-U-P RECORDPittsburgh SteelersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)10-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0OVER
On Road4-4-0At Home4-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season7-9-0All Totals Last Season7-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season2-6-0UNDER

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