February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

New York Giants vs Washington Redskins 12/1/2013

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Expect a close game with the New York Giants winning 44% of simulations, and the Washington Redskins 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New York Giants commit fewer turnovers in 35% of simulations and they go on to win 76% when they take care of the ball. The Washington Redskins wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Andre Brown is averaging 76 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Alfred Morris is averaging 86 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 79%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New York GiantsATS RECORDWashington RedskinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games5-11-0New York Giants
Road Games4-4-0Home Games3-5-0New York Giants
When Favored4-3-0When Underdog3-8-0New York Giants
Division Opp3-3-0Division Opp1-5-0New York Giants
Opp Under .5003-4-0Opp Under .5002-4-0New York Giants

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New York GiantsATS RECORDWashington RedskinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games11-5-0Washington Redskins
Road Games3-5-0Home Games5-3-0Washington Redskins
When Favored5-7-0When Underdog7-2-0Washington Redskins
Division Opp2-4-0Division Opp6-0-0Washington Redskins
Opp .500+ Record4-5-0Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Washington Redskins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York GiantsO-U-P RECORDWashington RedskinsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-10-0All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0UNDER
On Road3-5-0At Home4-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5-10-1All Totals Last Season9-6-1UNDER
On Road Last Season1-6-1At Home Last Season4-4-0UNDER

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