February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs 12/1/2013

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The Denver Broncos are a solid favorite with a 69% chance to beat the Kansas City Chiefs. Knowshon Moreno is projected for 61 rushing yards and a 35% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 30% of simulations where Kansas City Chiefs wins, Alex Smith averages 1.26 TD passes vs 0.34 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.91 TDs to 0.65 interceptions. Jamaal Charles averages 140 rushing yards and 1.19 rushing TDs when Kansas City Chiefs wins and 88 yards and 0.53 TDs in losses. The Denver Broncos has a 38% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Denver BroncosATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games12-6-0All Games10-7-0Denver Broncos
Road Games5-3-0Home Games2-6-0Denver Broncos
When Favored12-6-0When Underdog3-2-0Denver Broncos
Division Opp5-2-0Division Opp3-3-0Denver Broncos
Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Denver Broncos

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Denver BroncosATS RECORDKansas City ChiefsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games10-6-0All Games5-11-0Denver Broncos
Road Games5-3-0Home Games3-5-0Denver Broncos
When Favored9-3-0When Underdog5-10-0Denver Broncos
Division Opp4-2-0Division Opp1-5-0Denver Broncos
Opp Under .5005-2-0Opp .500+ Record3-1-0Kansas City Chiefs

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver BroncosO-U-P RECORDKansas City ChiefsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)11-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)8-9-0OVER
On Road5-3-0At Home3-5-0OVER
All Totals Last Season11-5-0All Totals Last Season7-9-0OVER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season3-5-0No Edge

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