Indianapolis Colts vs Jacksonville Jaguars 11/8/2012
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Expect a close game with the Indianapolis Colts winning 56% of simulations, and the Jacksonville Jaguars 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Indianapolis Colts commit fewer turnovers in 39% of simulations and they go on to win 77% when they take care of the ball. The Jacksonville Jaguars wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Donald Brown is averaging 22 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (10% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. Rashad Jennings is averaging 91 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (30% chance) then he helps his team win 67%.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Indianapolis Colts | ATS RECORD | Jacksonville Jaguars | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-3-0 | All Games | 4-5-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Road Games | 2-2-0 | Home Games | 0-5-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
| When Favored | 2-1-0 | When Underdog | 4-5-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Division Opp | 2-1-0 | Division Opp | 1-2-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-4-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Indianapolis Colts | ATS RECORD | Jacksonville Jaguars | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-10-0 | All Games | 7-9-0 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Road Games | 3-5-0 | Home Games | 4-4-0 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| When Favored | 0-1-0 | When Underdog | 5-9-0 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Division Opp | 2-4-0 | Division Opp | 4-2-0 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Opp Under .500 | 0-4-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-3-0 | Jacksonville Jaguars |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Indianapolis Colts | O-U-P RECORD | Jacksonville Jaguars | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-6-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-5-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 1-2-1 | At Home | 2-3-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 5-11-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 3-5-0 | UNDER |
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