February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Washington Redskins vs Minnesota Vikings 11/7/2013

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Expect a close game with the Washington Redskins winning 43% of simulations, and the Minnesota Vikings 57% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Washington Redskins commit fewer turnovers in 39% of simulations and they go on to win 73% when they take care of the ball. The Minnesota Vikings wins 77% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Alfred Morris is averaging 66 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Adrian Peterson is averaging 117 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 78%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Washington RedskinsATS RECORDMinnesota VikingsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-11-0All Games7-8-0Minnesota Vikings
Road Games2-6-0Home Games4-4-0Minnesota Vikings
When Favored2-3-0When Underdog6-5-0Minnesota Vikings
Non-Division Opp4-6-0Non-Division Opp5-5-0Minnesota Vikings
Opp Under .5002-4-0Opp Under .5002-3-0Minnesota Vikings

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Washington RedskinsATS RECORDMinnesota VikingsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games11-5-0All Games8-7-1Washington Redskins
Road Games6-2-0Home Games5-2-0Washington Redskins
When Favored4-3-0When Underdog7-3-0Minnesota Vikings
Non-Division Opp5-5-0Non-Division Opp4-5-1Washington Redskins
Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Opp .500+ Record4-3-1Washington Redskins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Washington RedskinsO-U-P RECORDMinnesota VikingsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)11-4-0OVER
On Road4-4-0At Home6-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season9-6-1All Totals Last Season7-9-0OVER
On Road Last Season5-2-1At Home Last Season4-4-0OVER

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