February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Tennessee Titans vs St. Louis Rams 11/3/2013

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Expect a close game with the Tennessee Titans winning 53% of simulations, and the St. Louis Rams 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Tennessee Titans commit fewer turnovers in 47% of simulations and they go on to win 76% when they take care of the ball. The St. Louis Rams wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Chris Johnson is averaging 94 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (32% chance) then he helps his team win 78%. Zac Stacy is averaging 71 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 71%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Tennessee TitansATS RECORDSt. Louis RamsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-8-2All Games7-8-1St. Louis Rams
Road Games5-3-0Home Games5-3-1No Edge
When Favored2-3-1When Underdog4-7-1Tennessee Titans
Non-Division Opp5-4-1Non-Division Opp6-3-1St. Louis Rams
Opp Under .5002-1-0Opp Under .5002-3-1Tennessee Titans

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Tennessee TitansATS RECORDSt. Louis RamsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-10-0All Games11-5-0St. Louis Rams
Road Games2-6-0Home Games4-4-0St. Louis Rams
When Favored2-2-0When Underdog11-3-0St. Louis Rams
Non-Division Opp5-5-0Non-Division Opp5-5-0No Edge
Opp Under .5001-1-0Opp Under .5003-1-0St. Louis Rams

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tennessee TitansO-U-P RECORDSt. Louis RamsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)10-6-0All Totals (O-U-P)9-7-0OVER
On Road4-4-0At Home5-3-0OVER
All Totals Last Season9-7-0All Totals Last Season9-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season5-3-0OVER

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