November 26, 2012 3:35 PM UTC

Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles 11/26/2012

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Expect a close game with the Carolina Panthers winning 54% of simulations, and the Philadelphia Eagles 46% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Carolina Panthers commit fewer turnovers in 52% of simulations and they go on to win 78% when they take care of the ball. The Philadelphia Eagles wins 74% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Cam Newton is averaging 62 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 75%. Bryce Brown is averaging 65 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (27% chance) then he helps his team win 67%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Carolina PanthersATS RECORDPhiladelphia EaglesATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-6-0All Games2-8-0Carolina Panthers
Road Games3-1-0Home Games1-4-0Carolina Panthers
When Favored0-3-0When Underdog1-3-0Philadelphia Eagles
Non-Division Opp2-4-0Non-Division Opp1-6-0Carolina Panthers
Opp Under .5002-1-0Opp Under .5001-4-0Carolina Panthers

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Carolina PanthersATS RECORDPhiladelphia EaglesATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-7-0All Games8-8-0Carolina Panthers
Road Games4-4-0Home Games3-5-0Carolina Panthers
When Favored5-2-0When Underdog3-1-0Philadelphia Eagles
Non-Division Opp6-4-0Non-Division Opp3-7-0Carolina Panthers
Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Opp Under .5001-3-0Carolina Panthers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Carolina PanthersO-U-P RECORDPhiladelphia EaglesO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-5-1All Totals (O-U-P)4-6-0UNDER
On Road2-2-0At Home4-1-0OVER
All Totals Last Season10-6-0All Totals Last Season7-8-1OVER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season4-4-0OVER

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