November 26, 2012 3:35 PM UTC

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns 11/25/2012

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Expect a close game with the Pittsburgh Steelers winning 58% of simulations, and the Cleveland Browns 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Pittsburgh Steelers commit fewer turnovers in 49% of simulations and they go on to win 80% when they take care of the ball. The Cleveland Browns wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rashard Mendenhall is averaging 48 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 77%. Trent Richardson is averaging 55 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 68%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Pittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDCleveland BrownsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-6-1All Games6-4-1Cleveland Browns
Road Games2-4-0Home Games4-2-1Cleveland Browns
When Favored2-5-0When Underdog6-4-1Cleveland Browns
Division Opp1-1-1Division Opp3-1-1Cleveland Browns
Opp Under .5001-4-0Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Cleveland Browns

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Pittsburgh SteelersATS RECORDCleveland BrownsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-10-0All Games7-8-1Cleveland Browns
Road Games2-7-0Home Games2-5-0Cleveland Browns
When Favored6-7-0When Underdog5-4-0Cleveland Browns
Division Opp2-4-0Division Opp4-2-0Cleveland Browns
Opp Under .5002-4-0Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Pittsburgh Steelers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Pittsburgh SteelersO-U-P RECORDCleveland BrownsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)3-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)3-8-0UNDER
On Road3-3-0At Home1-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season6-10-0All Totals Last Season5-11-0UNDER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season2-6-0UNDER

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