Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns 11/25/2012
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Expect a close game with the Pittsburgh Steelers winning 58% of simulations, and the Cleveland Browns 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Pittsburgh Steelers commit fewer turnovers in 49% of simulations and they go on to win 80% when they take care of the ball. The Cleveland Browns wins 65% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Rashard Mendenhall is averaging 48 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 77%. Trent Richardson is averaging 55 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 68%.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Pittsburgh Steelers | ATS RECORD | Cleveland Browns | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-6-1 | All Games | 6-4-1 | Cleveland Browns |
| Road Games | 2-4-0 | Home Games | 4-2-1 | Cleveland Browns |
| When Favored | 2-5-0 | When Underdog | 6-4-1 | Cleveland Browns |
| Division Opp | 1-1-1 | Division Opp | 3-1-1 | Cleveland Browns |
| Opp Under .500 | 1-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-3-0 | Cleveland Browns |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Pittsburgh Steelers | ATS RECORD | Cleveland Browns | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 7-10-0 | All Games | 7-8-1 | Cleveland Browns |
| Road Games | 2-7-0 | Home Games | 2-5-0 | Cleveland Browns |
| When Favored | 6-7-0 | When Underdog | 5-4-0 | Cleveland Browns |
| Division Opp | 2-4-0 | Division Opp | 4-2-0 | Cleveland Browns |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-4-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-5-0 | Pittsburgh Steelers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Pittsburgh Steelers | O-U-P RECORD | Cleveland Browns | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-8-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-8-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 3-3-0 | At Home | 1-5-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 6-10-0 | All Totals Last Season | 5-11-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 2-6-0 | UNDER |
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