February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants 11/24/2013

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Expect a close game with the Dallas Cowboys winning 56% of simulations, and the New York Giants 43% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Dallas Cowboys commit fewer turnovers in 51% of simulations and they go on to win 79% when they take care of the ball. The New York Giants wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tony Romo is averaging 269 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Andre Brown is averaging 61 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 65%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Dallas CowboysATS RECORDNew York GiantsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-7-0All Games7-9-0Dallas Cowboys
Road Games4-4-0Home Games3-5-0Dallas Cowboys
When Underdog6-2-0When Favored4-3-0Dallas Cowboys
Division Opp5-1-0Division Opp3-3-0Dallas Cowboys
Opp Under .5002-3-0Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Dallas Cowboys

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Dallas CowboysATS RECORDNew York GiantsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-10-0All Games7-9-0New York Giants
Road Games5-3-0Home Games4-4-0Dallas Cowboys
When Underdog3-3-0When Favored5-7-0Dallas Cowboys
Division Opp2-4-0Division Opp2-4-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record3-4-0Opp .500+ Record4-5-0New York Giants

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Dallas CowboysO-U-P RECORDNew York GiantsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-10-0UNDER
On Road4-4-0At Home3-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season9-7-0All Totals Last Season5-10-1UNDER
On Road Last Season3-5-0At Home Last Season4-4-0UNDER

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