November 19, 2012 6:37 PM UTC

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers 11/18/2012

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Expect a close game with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers winning 56% of simulations, and the Carolina Panthers 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers commit fewer turnovers in 63% of simulations and they go on to win 74% when they take care of the ball. The Carolina Panthers wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Doug Martin is averaging 88 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35% chance) then he helps his team win 79%. Cam Newton is averaging 54 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (33% chance) then he helps his team win 65%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Tampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDCarolina PanthersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-2-0All Games4-6-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Road Games5-0-0Home Games1-5-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
When Favored3-1-0When Underdog4-3-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Division Opp2-1-0Division Opp2-2-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Opp Under .5004-2-0Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Tampa Bay Buccaneers

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Tampa Bay BuccaneersATS RECORDCarolina PanthersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-12-0All Games9-7-0Carolina Panthers
Road Games2-6-0Home Games5-3-0Carolina Panthers
When Favored1-3-0When Underdog4-5-0Carolina Panthers
Division Opp2-4-0Division Opp3-3-0Carolina Panthers
Opp Under .5001-3-0Opp Under .5003-2-0Carolina Panthers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Tampa Bay BuccaneersO-U-P RECORDCarolina PanthersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)6-2-2All Totals (O-U-P)4-5-1OVER
On Road3-1-1At Home2-3-1OVER
All Totals Last Season10-6-0All Totals Last Season10-6-0OVER
On Road Last Season6-2-0At Home Last Season5-3-0OVER

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