November 19, 2012 6:37 PM UTC

New York Jets vs St. Louis Rams 11/18/2012

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Expect a close game with the New York Jets winning 50% of simulations, and the St. Louis Rams 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New York Jets commit fewer turnovers in 49% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. The St. Louis Rams wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Shonn Greene is averaging 73 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. Steven Jackson is averaging 66 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 73%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

New York JetsATS RECORDSt. Louis RamsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games6-4-0All Games5-4-0New York Jets
Road Games3-2-0Home Games3-3-0New York Jets
When Underdog3-3-0When Favored0-1-0New York Jets
Non-Division Opp3-3-0Non-Division Opp3-4-0New York Jets
Opp Under .5001-1-0Opp Under .5001-1-0St. Louis Rams

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

New York JetsATS RECORDSt. Louis RamsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games3-12-1New York Jets
Road Games3-5-0Home Games2-5-0New York Jets
When Underdog2-3-0When Favored0-2-0New York Jets
Non-Division Opp4-6-0Non-Division Opp2-7-1New York Jets
Opp Under .5003-2-0Opp .500+ Record1-4-1New York Jets

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

New York JetsO-U-P RECORDSt. Louis RamsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)5-3-2All Totals (O-U-P)5-4-0OVER
On Road3-2-0At Home4-2-0OVER
All Totals Last Season10-6-0All Totals Last Season5-9-2No Edge
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season4-3-1OVER

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