New York Jets vs St. Louis Rams 11/18/2012
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Expect a close game with the New York Jets winning 50% of simulations, and the St. Louis Rams 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The New York Jets commit fewer turnovers in 49% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. The St. Louis Rams wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Shonn Greene is averaging 73 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 74%. Steven Jackson is averaging 66 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (24% chance) then he helps his team win 73%.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| New York Jets | ATS RECORD | St. Louis Rams | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-4-0 | All Games | 5-4-0 | New York Jets |
| Road Games | 3-2-0 | Home Games | 3-3-0 | New York Jets |
| When Underdog | 3-3-0 | When Favored | 0-1-0 | New York Jets |
| Non-Division Opp | 3-3-0 | Non-Division Opp | 3-4-0 | New York Jets |
| Opp Under .500 | 1-1-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-1-0 | St. Louis Rams |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| New York Jets | ATS RECORD | St. Louis Rams | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 7-9-0 | All Games | 3-12-1 | New York Jets |
| Road Games | 3-5-0 | Home Games | 2-5-0 | New York Jets |
| When Underdog | 2-3-0 | When Favored | 0-2-0 | New York Jets |
| Non-Division Opp | 4-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 2-7-1 | New York Jets |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-2-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 1-4-1 | New York Jets |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| New York Jets | O-U-P RECORD | St. Louis Rams | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-3-2 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 5-4-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 3-2-0 | At Home | 4-2-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 10-6-0 | All Totals Last Season | 5-9-2 | No Edge |
| On Road Last Season | 5-3-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-3-1 | OVER |
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