Indianapolis Colts vs New England Patriots 11/18/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The New England Patriots are a heavy favorite winning 79% of simulations over the Indianapolis Colts. Tom Brady is averaging 287 passing yards and 2.2 TDs per simulation and Stevan Ridley is projected for 103 rushing yards and a 50% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 21% of simulations where Indianapolis Colts wins, Andrew Luck averages 1.89 TD passes vs 0.57 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.34 TDs to 1.2 interceptions. Donald Brown averages 53 rushing yards and 0.43 rushing TDs when Indianapolis Colts wins and 34 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. New England Patriots has a 68% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 88% of the time.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Indianapolis Colts | ATS RECORD | New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-4-0 | All Games | 6-4-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Road Games | 2-3-0 | Home Games | 2-3-0 | No Edge |
| When Underdog | 4-3-0 | When Favored | 5-4-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
| Non-Division Opp | 4-3-0 | Non-Division Opp | 5-2-0 | New England Patriots |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-1-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-3-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Indianapolis Colts | ATS RECORD | New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-10-0 | All Games | 9-7-0 | New England Patriots |
| Road Games | 3-5-0 | Home Games | 4-4-0 | New England Patriots |
| When Underdog | 6-9-0 | When Favored | 8-7-0 | New England Patriots |
| Non-Division Opp | 4-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 5-5-0 | New England Patriots |
| Opp .500+ Record | 5-4-0 | Opp Under .500 | 2-2-0 | Indianapolis Colts |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Indianapolis Colts | O-U-P RECORD | New England Patriots | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 3-6-1 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 8-2-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 2-2-1 | At Home | 4-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 7-9-0 | All Totals Last Season | 11-5-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-3-0 | OVER |
The forecast and trends above do not provide you with AccuScore\'s industry leading ATS and Totals picks. Join AccuScore.com and learn more about our products.
AccuScore rates each pick on a 4 Star System.
The Best Betting Systems report provides detailed simulation accuracy trends.
Many leading handicappers rely on AccuScore Star Ratings and Betting Systems to maximize accuracy.
Click here to see AccuScore's pick for this game