November 19, 2012 6:37 PM UTC

Arizona Cardinals vs Atlanta Falcons 11/18/2012

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The Atlanta Falcons are a heavy favorite winning 81% of simulations over the Arizona Cardinals. Matt Ryan is averaging 286 passing yards and 1.7 TDs per simulation and Michael Turner is projected for 71 rushing yards and a 49% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 19% of simulations where Arizona Cardinals wins, John Skelton averages 1.39 TD passes vs 0.9 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.97 TDs to 1.66 interceptions. LaRod Stephens-Howling averages 52 rushing yards and 0.51 rushing TDs when Arizona Cardinals wins and 31 yards and 0.19 TDs in losses. Atlanta Falcons has a 59% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 93% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Arizona CardinalsATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games4-5-1All Games6-4-0Atlanta Falcons
Road Games2-2-1Home Games2-3-0Arizona Cardinals
When Underdog4-2-1When Favored4-4-0Arizona Cardinals
Non-Division Opp3-3-1Non-Division Opp6-2-0Atlanta Falcons
Opp .500+ Record3-3-1Opp Under .5001-4-0Arizona Cardinals

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Arizona CardinalsATS RECORDAtlanta FalconsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-7-1All Games9-8-0Arizona Cardinals
Road Games4-4-0Home Games5-3-0Atlanta Falcons
When Underdog6-5-0When Favored6-5-0No Edge
Non-Division Opp5-5-0Non-Division Opp6-5-0Atlanta Falcons
Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Opp .500+ Record2-5-0Arizona Cardinals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Arizona CardinalsO-U-P RECORDAtlanta FalconsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)2-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)4-6-0UNDER
On Road1-4-0At Home1-4-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season7-9-0All Totals Last Season7-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season2-6-0At Home Last Season3-5-0UNDER

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