November 12, 2012 3:50 PM UTC

St. Louis Rams vs San Francisco 49ers 11/11/2012

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The San Francisco 49ers are a heavy favorite winning 82% of simulations over the St. Louis Rams. Alex Smith is averaging 206 passing yards and 1.6 TDs per simulation and Frank Gore is projected for 85 rushing yards and a 41% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 18% of simulations where St. Louis Rams wins, Sam Bradford averages 1.18 TD passes vs 0.45 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.66 TDs to 0.81 interceptions. Daryl Richardson averages 50 rushing yards and 0.39 rushing TDs when St. Louis Rams wins and 33 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. San Francisco 49ers has a 77% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

St. Louis RamsATS RECORDSan Francisco 49ersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-3-0All Games5-3-0No Edge
Road Games2-1-0Home Games2-2-0St. Louis Rams
When Underdog5-3-0When Favored4-3-0St. Louis Rams
Division Opp2-0-0Division Opp1-1-0St. Louis Rams
Opp .500+ Record3-3-0Opp Under .5000-0-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

St. Louis RamsATS RECORDSan Francisco 49ersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games3-12-1All Games12-3-1San Francisco 49ers
Road Games1-7-0Home Games7-0-0San Francisco 49ers
When Underdog3-10-1When Favored9-2-0San Francisco 49ers
Division Opp1-5-0Division Opp4-2-0San Francisco 49ers
Opp .500+ Record1-4-1Opp Under .5004-1-1San Francisco 49ers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

St. Louis RamsO-U-P RECORDSan Francisco 49ersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)4-4-0All Totals (O-U-P)2-6-0UNDER
On Road1-2-0At Home1-3-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season5-9-2All Totals Last Season7-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season1-6-1At Home Last Season4-4-0UNDER

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