St. Louis Rams vs San Francisco 49ers 11/11/2012
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The San Francisco 49ers are a heavy favorite winning 82% of simulations over the St. Louis Rams. Alex Smith is averaging 206 passing yards and 1.6 TDs per simulation and Frank Gore is projected for 85 rushing yards and a 41% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 18% of simulations where St. Louis Rams wins, Sam Bradford averages 1.18 TD passes vs 0.45 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.66 TDs to 0.81 interceptions. Daryl Richardson averages 50 rushing yards and 0.39 rushing TDs when St. Louis Rams wins and 33 yards and 0.16 TDs in losses. San Francisco 49ers has a 77% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 89% of the time.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| St. Louis Rams | ATS RECORD | San Francisco 49ers | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 5-3-0 | All Games | 5-3-0 | No Edge |
| Road Games | 2-1-0 | Home Games | 2-2-0 | St. Louis Rams |
| When Underdog | 5-3-0 | When Favored | 4-3-0 | St. Louis Rams |
| Division Opp | 2-0-0 | Division Opp | 1-1-0 | St. Louis Rams |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-3-0 | Opp Under .500 | 0-0-0 | No Edge |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| St. Louis Rams | ATS RECORD | San Francisco 49ers | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 3-12-1 | All Games | 12-3-1 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Road Games | 1-7-0 | Home Games | 7-0-0 | San Francisco 49ers |
| When Underdog | 3-10-1 | When Favored | 9-2-0 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Division Opp | 1-5-0 | Division Opp | 4-2-0 | San Francisco 49ers |
| Opp .500+ Record | 1-4-1 | Opp Under .500 | 4-1-1 | San Francisco 49ers |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| St. Louis Rams | O-U-P RECORD | San Francisco 49ers | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-4-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 2-6-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 1-2-0 | At Home | 1-3-0 | UNDER |
| All Totals Last Season | 5-9-2 | All Totals Last Season | 7-9-0 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 1-6-1 | At Home Last Season | 4-4-0 | UNDER |
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