Denver Broncos vs Carolina Panthers 11/11/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
Expect a close game with the Denver Broncos winning 57% of simulations, and the Carolina Panthers 42% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Denver Broncos commit fewer turnovers in 58% of simulations and they go on to win 77% when they take care of the ball. The Carolina Panthers wins 71% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Peyton Manning is averaging 264 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Cam Newton is averaging 59 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 62%.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Denver Broncos | ATS RECORD | Carolina Panthers | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-3-0 | All Games | 4-5-0 | Denver Broncos |
| Road Games | 3-2-0 | Home Games | 1-4-0 | Denver Broncos |
| When Favored | 5-0-0 | When Underdog | 4-2-0 | Denver Broncos |
| Non-Division Opp | 4-3-0 | Non-Division Opp | 2-4-0 | Denver Broncos |
| Opp Under .500 | 4-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 2-3-0 | Denver Broncos |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Denver Broncos | ATS RECORD | Carolina Panthers | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 8-9-0 | All Games | 9-7-0 | Carolina Panthers |
| Road Games | 6-2-0 | Home Games | 5-3-0 | Denver Broncos |
| When Favored | 1-5-0 | When Underdog | 4-5-0 | Carolina Panthers |
| Non-Division Opp | 5-6-0 | Non-Division Opp | 6-4-0 | Carolina Panthers |
| Opp Under .500 | 3-0-0 | Opp .500+ Record | 5-3-0 | Denver Broncos |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Denver Broncos | O-U-P RECORD | Carolina Panthers | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-3-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-5-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 4-1-0 | At Home | 2-3-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 9-7-0 | All Totals Last Season | 10-6-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 4-4-0 | At Home Last Season | 5-3-0 | OVER |
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