Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles 11/11/2012
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Expect a close game with the Dallas Cowboys winning 56% of simulations, and the Philadelphia Eagles 44% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Dallas Cowboys commit fewer turnovers in 42% of simulations and they go on to win 78% when they take care of the ball. The Philadelphia Eagles wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Tony Romo is averaging 295 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (37% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. LeSean McCoy is averaging 70 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 60%.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Dallas Cowboys | ATS RECORD | Philadelphia Eagles | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-5-0 | All Games | 2-7-0 | Dallas Cowboys |
| Road Games | 4-2-0 | Home Games | 1-4-0 | Dallas Cowboys |
| When Favored | 2-3-0 | When Underdog | 1-2-0 | Dallas Cowboys |
| Division Opp | 2-1-0 | Division Opp | 1-1-0 | Dallas Cowboys |
| Opp Under .500 | 2-1-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-3-0 | Dallas Cowboys |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Dallas Cowboys | ATS RECORD | Philadelphia Eagles | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 5-10-1 | All Games | 8-8-0 | Philadelphia Eagles |
| Road Games | 3-4-1 | Home Games | 3-5-0 | Dallas Cowboys |
| When Favored | 3-8-1 | When Underdog | 3-1-0 | Philadelphia Eagles |
| Division Opp | 0-6-0 | Division Opp | 5-1-0 | Philadelphia Eagles |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-3-1 | Opp .500+ Record | 4-5-0 | Philadelphia Eagles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Dallas Cowboys | O-U-P RECORD | Philadelphia Eagles | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-5-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 4-5-0 | UNDER |
| On Road | 2-4-0 | At Home | 4-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 6-10-0 | All Totals Last Season | 7-8-1 | UNDER |
| On Road Last Season | 3-5-0 | At Home Last Season | 4-4-0 | UNDER |
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