Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots 11/11/2012
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The New England Patriots are a heavy favorite winning 80% of simulations over the Buffalo Bills. Tom Brady is averaging 291 passing yards and 2.5 TDs per simulation and Stevan Ridley is projected for 94 rushing yards and a 48% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 20% of simulations where Buffalo Bills wins, Ryan Fitzpatrick averages 2.31 TD passes vs 0.86 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.59 TDs to 1.6 interceptions. C.J. Spiller averages 65 rushing yards and 0.48 rushing TDs when Buffalo Bills wins and 41 yards and 0.21 TDs in losses. New England Patriots has a 60% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 91% of the time.
'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.
| Buffalo Bills | ATS RECORD | New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 4-5-0 | All Games | 5-4-0 | New England Patriots |
| Road Games | 3-3-0 | Home Games | 1-3-0 | Buffalo Bills |
| When Underdog | 2-4-0 | When Favored | 4-4-0 | New England Patriots |
| Division Opp | 1-2-0 | Division Opp | 1-2-0 | New England Patriots |
| Opp .500+ Record | 2-2-0 | Opp Under .500 | 1-1-0 | New England Patriots |
LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.
| Buffalo Bills | ATS RECORD | New England Patriots | ATS RECORD | ATS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Games | 6-9-1 | All Games | 9-7-0 | New England Patriots |
| Road Games | 2-5-1 | Home Games | 4-4-0 | New England Patriots |
| When Underdog | 4-5-1 | When Favored | 8-7-0 | New England Patriots |
| Division Opp | 2-4-0 | Division Opp | 4-2-0 | New England Patriots |
| Opp .500+ Record | 3-4-1 | Opp Under .500 | 2-2-0 | New England Patriots |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS
| Buffalo Bills | O-U-P RECORD | New England Patriots | O-U-P RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| All Totals (O-U-P) | 6-3-0 | All Totals (O-U-P) | 7-2-0 | OVER |
| On Road | 3-3-0 | At Home | 3-1-0 | OVER |
| All Totals Last Season | 10-5-1 | All Totals Last Season | 11-5-0 | OVER |
| On Road Last Season | 5-2-1 | At Home Last Season | 5-3-0 | OVER |
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