February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Detroit Lions vs Chicago Bears 11/10/2013

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Expect a close game with the Detroit Lions winning 41% of simulations, and the Chicago Bears 59% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Detroit Lions commit fewer turnovers in 29% of simulations and they go on to win 74% when they take care of the ball. The Chicago Bears wins 73% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Matthew Stafford is averaging 291 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (31% chance) then he helps his team win 53%. Jay Cutler is averaging 289 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (33% chance) then he helps his team win 68%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Detroit LionsATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games4-10-2Detroit Lions
Road Games4-4-0Home Games1-5-0Detroit Lions
When Underdog2-2-0When Favored3-2-2Chicago Bears
Division Opp5-1-0Division Opp1-5-0Detroit Lions
Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Opp .500+ Record2-3-0Detroit Lions

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Detroit LionsATS RECORDChicago BearsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games5-10-1All Games7-9-0Chicago Bears
Road Games3-5-0Home Games3-5-0No Edge
When Underdog3-4-1When Favored6-6-0Chicago Bears
Division Opp2-4-0Division Opp1-5-0Detroit Lions
Opp .500+ Record3-6-1Opp Under .5002-3-0Chicago Bears

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Detroit LionsO-U-P RECORDChicago BearsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)11-4-1OVER
On Road3-5-0At Home5-2-1OVER
All Totals Last Season10-6-0All Totals Last Season9-7-0OVER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season3-5-0No Edge

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