February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins 10/31/2013

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Expect a close game with the Cincinnati Bengals winning 44% of simulations, and the Miami Dolphins 56% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Cincinnati Bengals commit fewer turnovers in 62% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. The Miami Dolphins wins 80% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Giovani Bernard is averaging 40 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (15% chance) then he helps his team win 68%. Lamar Miller is averaging 56 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (21% chance) then he helps his team win 80%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Cincinnati BengalsATS RECORDMiami DolphinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games10-6-1All Games9-7-0Cincinnati Bengals
Road Games2-5-1Home Games5-3-0Miami Dolphins
When Favored7-6-0When Underdog7-2-0Miami Dolphins
Non-Division Opp7-3-1Non-Division Opp7-3-0Cincinnati Bengals
Opp .500+ Record5-0-0Opp .500+ Record5-3-0Cincinnati Bengals

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Cincinnati BengalsATS RECORDMiami DolphinsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-6-1All Games8-8-0Cincinnati Bengals
Road Games6-2-0Home Games5-3-0Cincinnati Bengals
When Favored6-4-1When Underdog6-5-0Cincinnati Bengals
Non-Division Opp7-3-0Non-Division Opp5-5-0Cincinnati Bengals
Opp Under .5005-3-1Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Cincinnati Bengals

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Cincinnati BengalsO-U-P RECORDMiami DolphinsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)10-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)6-9-1OVER
On Road4-4-0At Home3-5-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season7-9-0All Totals Last Season7-9-0UNDER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season3-5-0UNDER

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