February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts 10/20/2013

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The Denver Broncos are a solid favorite with a 65% chance to beat the Indianapolis Colts. Knowshon Moreno is projected for 81 rushing yards and a 41% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 35% of simulations where Indianapolis Colts wins, Andrew Luck averages 1.97 TD passes vs 0.37 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.42 TDs to 0.68 interceptions. Trent Richardson averages 95 rushing yards and 0.89 rushing TDs when Indianapolis Colts wins and 64 yards and 0.47 TDs in losses. The Denver Broncos has a 61% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 80% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Denver BroncosATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games12-6-0All Games9-8-1Denver Broncos
Road Games5-3-0Home Games5-4-1Denver Broncos
When Favored12-6-0When Underdog4-3-0Denver Broncos
Non-Division Opp7-4-0Non-Division Opp4-8-0Denver Broncos
Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Opp .500+ Record3-3-0Denver Broncos

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Denver BroncosATS RECORDIndianapolis ColtsATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games10-6-0All Games11-5-0Indianapolis Colts
Road Games5-3-0Home Games7-1-0Indianapolis Colts
When Favored9-3-0When Underdog6-4-0Denver Broncos
Non-Division Opp6-4-0Non-Division Opp7-3-0Indianapolis Colts
Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Opp .500+ Record3-2-0Indianapolis Colts

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Denver BroncosO-U-P RECORDIndianapolis ColtsO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)11-7-0All Totals (O-U-P)10-8-0OVER
On Road5-3-0At Home5-4-0OVER
All Totals Last Season11-5-0All Totals Last Season6-9-1OVER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season3-5-0No Edge

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