February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens 10/13/2013

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Expect a close game with the Green Bay Packers winning 49% of simulations, and the Baltimore Ravens 51% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Green Bay Packers commit fewer turnovers in 37% of simulations and they go on to win 77% when they take care of the ball. The Baltimore Ravens wins 69% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Aaron Rodgers is averaging 305 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (38% chance) then he helps his team win 60%. Joe Flacco is averaging 258 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (34% chance) then he helps his team win 57%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Green Bay PackersATS RECORDBaltimore RavensATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-0All Games6-9-1Green Bay Packers
Road Games4-4-0Home Games4-4-1No Edge
When Favored6-5-0When Underdog4-4-1Green Bay Packers
Non-Division Opp4-7-0Non-Division Opp4-5-1Baltimore Ravens
Opp .500+ Record4-3-0Opp .500+ Record5-1-1Baltimore Ravens

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Green Bay PackersATS RECORDBaltimore RavensATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-7-0All Games6-9-1Green Bay Packers
Road Games4-4-0Home Games3-5-1Green Bay Packers
When Favored8-6-0When Underdog2-4-0Green Bay Packers
Non-Division Opp4-6-0Non-Division Opp4-6-0No Edge
Opp .500+ Record6-2-0Opp .500+ Record1-6-1Green Bay Packers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Green Bay PackersO-U-P RECORDBaltimore RavensO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-8-0All Totals (O-U-P)7-8-1UNDER
On Road6-2-0At Home3-5-0OVER
All Totals Last Season8-8-0All Totals Last Season10-5-1OVER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season6-1-1OVER

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