February 02, 2014 5:06 AM UTC

San Francisco 49ers vs Carolina Panthers 1/12/2014

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Expect a close game with the San Francisco 49ers winning 53% of simulations, and the Carolina Panthers 47% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The San Francisco 49ers commit fewer turnovers in 60% of simulations and they go on to win 71% when they take care of the ball. The Carolina Panthers wins 75% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Frank Gore is averaging 59 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 73%. Cam Newton is averaging 50 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (28% chance) then he helps his team win 66%.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

San Francisco 49ersATS RECORDCarolina PanthersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games13-6-0All Games9-7-1San Francisco 49ers
Road Games9-2-0Home Games6-2-0San Francisco 49ers
When Favored12-4-0When Underdog2-3-0San Francisco 49ers
Non-Division Opp9-3-0Non-Division Opp5-5-1San Francisco 49ers
Opp .500+ Record4-4-0Opp .500+ Record3-3-0No Edge

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

San Francisco 49ersATS RECORDCarolina PanthersATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games9-7-0All Games9-7-0No Edge
Road Games5-3-0Home Games3-5-0San Francisco 49ers
When Favored7-6-0When Underdog7-3-0Carolina Panthers
Non-Division Opp8-2-0Non-Division Opp5-5-0San Francisco 49ers
Opp Under .5001-1-0Opp .500+ Record3-4-0San Francisco 49ers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

San Francisco 49ersO-U-P RECORDCarolina PanthersO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)8-10-1All Totals (O-U-P)5-12-0UNDER
On Road5-5-1At Home2-7-0UNDER
All Totals Last Season8-7-0All Totals Last Season8-7-1OVER
On Road Last Season4-4-0At Home Last Season3-4-1UNDER

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