January 13, 2013 10:48 AM UTC

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos 1/12/2013

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The Denver Broncos are a solid favorite with a 67% chance to beat the Baltimore Ravens. Knowshon Moreno is projected for 70 rushing yards and a 37% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 33% of simulations where Baltimore Ravens wins, Joe Flacco averages 1.42 TD passes vs 0.43 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.01 TDs to 0.88 interceptions. Ray Rice averages 84 rushing yards and 0.71 rushing TDs when Baltimore Ravens wins and 51 yards and 0.27 TDs in losses. The Denver Broncos has a 59% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 82% of the time.

'CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 3 weeks of the season.

Baltimore RavensATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games7-9-1All Games10-6-0Denver Broncos
Road Games3-4-1Home Games5-3-0Denver Broncos
When Underdog2-4-0When Favored9-3-0Denver Broncos
Non-Division Opp5-6-0Non-Division Opp6-4-0Denver Broncos
Opp .500+ Record1-6-1Opp .500+ Record2-4-0Denver Broncos

LAST SEASON: We advise factoring for these trends for the first 3 to 6 weeks of the Current Season.

Baltimore RavensATS RECORDDenver BroncosATS RECORDATS EDGE
All Games8-7-1All Games8-9-0Baltimore Ravens
Road Games4-4-0Home Games2-7-0Baltimore Ravens
When Underdog1-0-0When Favored1-5-0Baltimore Ravens
Non-Division Opp4-6-0Non-Division Opp5-6-0Denver Broncos
Opp .500+ Record4-0-1Opp .500+ Record4-6-0Baltimore Ravens

OVER-UNDER TRENDS

Baltimore RavensO-U-P RECORDDenver BroncosO-U-P RECORDO-U EDGE
All Totals (O-U-P)9-7-1All Totals (O-U-P)10-6-0OVER
On Road3-5-0At Home5-3-0No Edge
All Totals Last Season9-7-0All Totals Last Season9-7-0OVER
On Road Last Season5-3-0At Home Last Season5-3-0OVER

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