Texas Rangers vs St. Louis Cardinals 10/28/2011
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The St. Louis Cardinals are 50-39 at home this season and the Texas Rangers are 48-40 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals\' starter Chris Carpenter is forecasted to have a better game than Rangers\' starter Matt Harrison. Chris Carpenter has a 53% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Matt Harrison has a 46% chance of a QS. If Chris Carpenter has a quality start the Cardinals has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.4 and he has a 48% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 58%. In Matt Harrison quality starts the Rangers win 63%. He has a 16% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 63% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Albert Pujols who averaged 2.09 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 35% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 67% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Texas Rangers is Adrian Beltre who averaged 1.89 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Rangers have a 62% chance of winning.
2011 SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Texas Rangers
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 48-40, 55% 440 | Record at Home | 50-39, 56% -267 | Texas Rangers |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 3-3, 50% -70 | VS Texas Rangers | 3-3, 50% 46 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 54-43, 56% 389 | vs Team .500 or Better | 40-37, 52% 673 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 20-22, 48% 51 | Record As Home Favorite | 45-32, 58% -153 | Texas Rangers |
| When Matt Harrison Starts | 22-11, 67% 709 | When Chris Carpenter Starts | 20-19, 51% -145 | Texas Rangers |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: St. Louis Cardinals
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-3, 62% 146 | Record at Home | 5-3, 62% 135 | Texas Rangers |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 3-3, 50% -70 | VS Texas Rangers | 3-3, 50% 46 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 3-3, 50% -70 | vs Team .500 or Better | 10-7, 59% 475 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 2-3, 40% -94 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-1, 80% 225 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| When Matt Harrison Starts | 3-1, 75% 146 | When Chris Carpenter Starts | 5-1, 83% 430 | St. Louis Cardinals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Texas Rangers | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 37-45, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 42-43, 49% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-5, 38% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-4, 43% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-47, 47% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 31-43, 42% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Matt Harrison STARTS | 13-19, 41% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Chris Carpenter STARTS | 18-19, 49% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 48-40, 55% -1081 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 48-41, 54% +347 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 5-3, 62% -122 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 2-6, 25% -398
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 51-37, 58% +572 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 51-38, 57% -189 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 6-2, 75% +299 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 5-3, 62% +136
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 38-26, 59% + 940 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 38-33, 54% + 170 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Texas Rangers Road Games: 4-1, 80% + 290 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 4-1, 80% + 290
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