September 29, 2012 6:39 PM UTC

Detroit Tigers vs Minnesota Twins 9/29/2012

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The Detroit Tigers are 34-42 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Minnesota Twins who are 31-48 at home. The Tigers have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers\' starter Justin Verlander is forecasted to have a better game than Tigers\' starter P.J. Walters. Justin Verlander has a 72% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while P.J. Walters has a 32% chance of a QS. If Justin Verlander has a quality start the Tigers has a 89% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.9 and he has a 66% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 80%. In P.J. Walters quality starts the Twins win 46%. He has a 12% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 46% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Minnesota Twins is Joe Mauer who averaged 1.66 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 23% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Twins have a 38% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Miguel Cabrera who averaged 2.88 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 51% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 88% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Detroit TigersRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road34-42, 45% -1307Record at Home31-48, 39% -1461Detroit Tigers
VS Minnesota Twins8-8, 50% -268VS Detroit Tigers8-8, 50% 585Minnesota Twins
vs Team Under .50044-39, 53% -1028vs Team .500 or Better32-59, 35% -1189Detroit Tigers
Record as Road Favorite23-30, 43% -1337Record as Home Underdog18-33, 35% -1017Minnesota Twins
When Justin Verlander Starts20-12, 62% -105When P.J. Walters Starts6-5, 55% 396Minnesota Twins

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Minnesota Twins

Detroit TigersRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road4-8, 33% -506Record at Home6-9, 40% -201Minnesota Twins
VS Minnesota Twins1-3, 25% -251VS Detroit Tigers3-1, 75% 482Minnesota Twins
vs Team Under .50013-9, 59% -94vs Team .500 or Better4-3, 57% 470Minnesota Twins
Record as Road Favorite4-7, 36% -406Record as Home Underdog4-5, 44% 33Minnesota Twins
When Justin Verlander Starts4-1, 80% 118When P.J. Walters Starts2-2, 50% 145Minnesota Twins

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under

Detroit TigersRECORDMinnesota TwinsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD30-42, 42% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME38-34, 53% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS2-7, 22% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-5, 55% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-36, 54% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON39-39, 50% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Justin Verlander STARTS11-20, 35% OverOVER-UNDER IN P.J. Walters STARTS6-5, 55% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 30-46, 39% -2408 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 31-48, 39% -2047 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-6, 50% -138 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 8-7, 53% -46

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 33-43, 43% -1582 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 35-44, 44% -1718 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 7-5, 58% +94 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 7-8, 47% -282

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 37-23, 62% + 1170 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 28-32, 47% -720 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Detroit Tigers Road Games: 6-1, 86% + 490 Minnesota Twins Home Games: 4-4, 50% -40

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