St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs 9/22/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The St. Louis Cardinals are 34-42 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Chicago Cubs who are 36-40 at home. The Cardinals have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a good chance of having a quality start. Travis Wood has a 60% chance of a QS and Adam Wainwright a 63% chance. If Travis Wood has a quality start the Cubs has a 47% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 2.9 and he has a 27% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cubs win 43%. If Adam Wainwright has a quality start the Cardinals has a 73% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9.8 and he has a 72% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 67%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Chicago Cubs is Alfonso Soriano who averaged 1.69 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 25% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cubs have a 51% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Allen Craig who averaged 2.3 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 38% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 80% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 34-42, 45% -997 | Record at Home | 36-40, 47% -129 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 8-7, 53% -216 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 7-8, 47% 149 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team Under .500 | 38-25, 60% 161 | vs Team .500 or Better | 38-74, 34% -2250 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 20-26, 43% -1003 | Record as Home Underdog | 25-32, 44% -163 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Adam Wainwright Starts | 14-16, 47% -641 | When Travis Wood Starts | 8-15, 35% -514 | Chicago Cubs |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Chicago Cubs
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 6-12, 33% -615 | Record at Home | 7-11, 39% -223 | Chicago Cubs |
| VS Chicago Cubs | 0-1, 0% -100 | VS St. Louis Cardinals | 1-0, 100% 162 | Chicago Cubs |
| vs Team Under .500 | 9-6, 60% -26 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-12, 14% -892 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 3-8, 27% -548 | Record as Home Underdog | 6-9, 40% -90 | Chicago Cubs |
| When Adam Wainwright Starts | 2-3, 40% -136 | When Travis Wood Starts | 2-3, 40% -34 | Chicago Cubs |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | Chicago Cubs | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 35-39, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 33-41, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 10-8, 56% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 7-10, 41% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 54-33, 62% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-43, 45% Over | UNDER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Adam Wainwright STARTS | 15-13, 54% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Travis Wood STARTS | 11-12, 48% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 45-31, 59% +21 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 50-26, 66% +1920 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 7-11, 39% -713 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 9-9, 50% -167
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 36-40, 47% -889 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 49-27, 64% +1284 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 9-9, 50% -107 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 10-8, 56% -69
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 36-27, 57% + 630 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 35-31, 53% + 90 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - St. Louis Cardinals Road Games: 6-10, 38% -500 Chicago Cubs Home Games: 7-6, 54% + 40
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