September 13, 2012 6:15 PM UTC

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox 9/13/2012

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The New York Yankees are 39-34 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Boston Red Sox who are 33-42 at home. The Yankees have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Yankees\' starter Phil Hughes is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees\' starter Felix Doubront. Phil Hughes has a 58% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Felix Doubront has a 26% chance of a QS. If Phil Hughes has a quality start the Yankees has a 85% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.5 and he has a 51% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Yankees win 73%. In Felix Doubront quality starts the Red Sox win 62%. He has a 8% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Boston Red Sox is Scott Podsednik who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Red Sox have a 45% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Robinson Cano who averaged 2.95 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 53% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 74% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road39-34, 53% -55Record at Home33-42, 44% -1504New York Yankees
VS Boston Red Sox9-5, 64% 264VS New York Yankees5-9, 36% -263New York Yankees
vs Team Under .50037-20, 65% 439vs Team .500 or Better34-54, 39% -2106New York Yankees
Record as Road Favorite26-23, 53% -425Record as Home Underdog5-11, 31% -475New York Yankees
When Phil Hughes Starts15-13, 54% -192When Felix Doubront Starts15-10, 60% 368Boston Red Sox

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Yankees

New York YankeesRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road6-9, 40% -394Record at Home4-8, 33% -462New York Yankees
VS Boston Red Sox3-2, 60% 6VS New York Yankees2-3, 40% -79New York Yankees
vs Team Under .5006-5, 55% -137vs Team .500 or Better5-14, 26% -1017New York Yankees
Record as Road Favorite3-7, 30% -525Record as Home Underdog1-5, 17% -383Boston Red Sox
When Phil Hughes Starts3-2, 60% 24When Felix Doubront Starts1-2, 33% -126New York Yankees

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is not trending over or under

New York YankeesRECORDBoston Red SoxRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD33-39, 46% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME40-29, 58% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-8, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS6-6, 50% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON31-46, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON45-32, 58% OverOVER
OVER-UNDER IN Phil Hughes STARTS14-14, 50% OverOVER-UNDER IN Felix Doubront STARTS15-8, 65% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 32-41, 44% -2090 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 38-37, 51% +744 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 6-9, 40% -489 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 6-6, 50% +42

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 40-33, 55% -50 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 30-45, 40% -1924 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 8-7, 53% -42 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 7-5, 58% +124

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 31-34, 48% -640 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 33-33, 50% -330 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 Boston Red Sox Home Games: 8-3, 73% + 470

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