San Francisco Giants vs St. Louis Cardinals 8/9/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The St. Louis Cardinals are 33-23 at home this season and the San Francisco Giants are 29-27 on the road this season. This is a close match-up with both teams having a 45 to 55 percent chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Cardinals\' starter Adam Wainwright is forecasted to have a better game than Giants\' starter Madison Bumgarner. Adam Wainwright has a 65% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Madison Bumgarner has a 59% chance of a QS. If Adam Wainwright has a quality start the Cardinals has a 66% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 7.9 and he has a 62% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 58%. In Madison Bumgarner quality starts the Giants win 60%. He has a 64% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 60% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Matt Holliday who averaged 1.85 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the San Francisco Giants is Melky Cabrera who averaged 2.07 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Giants have a 61% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants
| San Francisco Giants | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 29-27, 52% 408 | Record at Home | 33-23, 59% 50 | San Francisco Giants |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 3-2, 60% 181 | VS San Francisco Giants | 2-3, 40% -114 | San Francisco Giants |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 25-29, 46% -311 | vs Team .500 or Better | 21-24, 47% -610 | San Francisco Giants |
| Record As Road Underdog | 16-18, 47% 261 | Record As Home Favorite | 32-22, 59% -26 | San Francisco Giants |
| When Madison Bumgarner Starts | 14-8, 64% 216 | When Adam Wainwright Starts | 9-13, 41% -673 | San Francisco Giants |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: San Francisco Giants
| San Francisco Giants | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 9-3, 75% 668 | Record at Home | 10-3, 77% 390 | San Francisco Giants |
| VS St. Louis Cardinals | 2-1, 67% 198 | VS San Francisco Giants | 1-2, 33% -109 | San Francisco Giants |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 8-7, 53% 192 | vs Team Under .500 | 10-5, 67% 200 | St. Louis Cardinals |
| Record As Road Underdog | 6-3, 67% 470 | Record As Home Favorite | 10-3, 77% 390 | San Francisco Giants |
| When Madison Bumgarner Starts | 3-2, 60% -26 | When Adam Wainwright Starts | 2-3, 40% -167 | San Francisco Giants |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Over
| San Francisco Giants | RECORD | St. Louis Cardinals | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 38-18, 68% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 28-26, 52% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 9-3, 75% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 6-7, 46% Over | OVER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-37, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-43, 49% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Madison Bumgarner STARTS | 9-11, 45% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Adam Wainwright STARTS | 11-10, 52% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 30-26, 54% -80 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 28-28, 50% -220 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 6-6, 50% +30 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 8-5, 62% +74
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 32-24, 57% +328 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 30-26, 54% -452 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 7-5, 58% +66 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 10-3, 77% +407
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 27-19, 59% + 610 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 32-16, 67% + 1440 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - San Francisco Giants Road Games: 7-5, 58% + 150 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
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