August 09, 2012 3:14 PM UTC

New York Yankees vs Detroit Tigers 8/9/2012

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The Detroit Tigers are 33-22 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the New York Yankees who are 30-24 on the road this season. The Tigers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Tigers\' starter Doug Fister is forecasted to have a better game than Yankees\' starter Hiroki Kuroda. Doug Fister has a 62% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Hiroki Kuroda has a 54% chance of a QS. If Doug Fister has a quality start the Tigers has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 6.7 and he has a 52% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Tigers win 64%. In Hiroki Kuroda quality starts the Yankees win 62%. He has a 53% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 62% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Detroit Tigers is Miguel Cabrera who averaged 2.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 39% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Tigers have a 69% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the New York Yankees is Robinson Cano who averaged 1.97 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 30% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Yankees have a 58% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

New York YankeesRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road30-24, 56% 196Record at Home33-22, 60% 218Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers5-4, 56% 70VS New York Yankees4-5, 44% -126New York Yankees
vs Team .500 or Better35-32, 52% -414vs Team .500 or Better32-25, 56% 255Detroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog9-9, 50% 133Record As Home Favorite29-17, 63% 303Detroit Tigers
When Hiroki Kuroda Starts12-10, 55% -122When Doug Fister Starts7-9, 44% -361New York Yankees

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Detroit Tigers

New York YankeesRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road3-7, 30% -502Record at Home11-2, 85% 631Detroit Tigers
VS Detroit Tigers1-2, 33% -126VS New York Yankees2-1, 67% 57Detroit Tigers
vs Team .500 or Better6-10, 38% -656vs Team .500 or Better5-1, 83% 310Detroit Tigers
Record As Road Underdog0-2, 0% -200Record As Home Favorite9-1, 90% 525Detroit Tigers
When Hiroki Kuroda Starts3-2, 60% 2When Doug Fister Starts4-1, 80% 214Detroit Tigers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under

New York YankeesRECORDDetroit TigersRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD24-29, 45% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME25-26, 49% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS4-6, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-4, 64% OverOVER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON31-46, 40% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON44-33, 57% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Hiroki Kuroda STARTS6-16, 27% OverOVER-UNDER IN Doug Fister STARTS5-9, 36% OverN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 25-29, 46% -1301 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 29-26, 53% -207 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 8-2, 80% +517 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 9-4, 69% +295

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 30-24, 56% +55 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 34-21, 62% +451 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 7-3, 70% +287 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 8-5, 62% +62

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - New York Yankees Road Games: 22-27, 45% -770 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 22-24, 48% -440 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - New York Yankees Road Games: 3-6, 33% -360 Detroit Tigers Home Games: 5-6, 45% -160

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