Miami Marlins vs New York Mets 8/9/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The New York Mets are 26-28 at home this season and are solid favorites to beat the Miami Marlins who are 24-33 on the road this season. The Mets have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Mets\' starter R.A. Dickey is forecasted to have a better game than Marlins\' starter Josh Johnson. R.A. Dickey has a 75% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Josh Johnson has a 63% chance of a QS. If R.A. Dickey has a quality start the Mets has a 69% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 9 and he has a 70% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Mets win 64%. In Josh Johnson quality starts the Marlins win 51%. He has a 38% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 51% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the New York Mets is Jordany Valdespin who averaged 2.08 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 33% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Mets have a 77% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Miami Marlins is Justin Ruggiano who averaged 1.74 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 28% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Marlins have a 58% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: New York Mets
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 24-33, 42% -522 | Record at Home | 26-28, 48% -353 | New York Mets |
| VS New York Mets | 4-4, 50% 33 | VS Miami Marlins | 4-4, 50% 29 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 31-23, 57% 482 | vs Team .500 or Better | 31-36, 46% -214 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 15-23, 39% -297 | Record As Home Favorite | 13-13, 50% -268 | New York Mets |
| When Josh Johnson Starts | 13-9, 59% 178 | When R.A. Dickey Starts | 16-6, 73% 1070 | New York Mets |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Miami Marlins
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 5-11, 31% -381 | Record at Home | 0-8, 0% -800 | Miami Marlins |
| VS New York Mets | 2-0, 100% 281 | VS Miami Marlins | 0-2, 0% -200 | Miami Marlins |
| vs Team Under .500 | 3-2, 60% 172 | vs Team .500 or Better | 7-16, 30% -634 | Miami Marlins |
| Record As Road Underdog | 4-8, 33% -172 | Record As Home Favorite | 0-5, 0% -500 | Miami Marlins |
| When Josh Johnson Starts | 3-2, 60% 96 | When R.A. Dickey Starts | 2-3, 40% -80 | Miami Marlins |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Miami Marlins | RECORD | New York Mets | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-33, 39% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-25, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-11, 31% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-3, 62% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 38-40, 49% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 42-35, 55% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Josh Johnson STARTS | 9-10, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER IN R.A. Dickey STARTS | 10-12, 45% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 33-24, 58% +1025 New York Mets Home Games: 33-21, 61% +1087 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 14-2, 88% +1216 New York Mets Home Games: 3-5, 38% -217
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 33-24, 58% +285 New York Mets Home Games: 35-19, 65% +1165 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 11-5, 69% +306 New York Mets Home Games: 3-5, 38% -285
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 20-27, 43% -970 New York Mets Home Games: 22-21, 51% -110 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Miami Marlins Road Games: 9-6, 60% + 240 New York Mets Home Games: 3-4, 43% -140
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