Kansas City Royals vs Baltimore Orioles 8/9/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Baltimore Orioles are 28-26 at home this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Kansas City Royals who are 26-31 on the road this season. The Orioles have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Orioles\' starter Wei-Yin Chen is forecasted to have a better game than Royals\' starter Will Smith. Wei-Yin Chen has a 68% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Will Smith has a 46% chance of a QS. If Wei-Yin Chen has a quality start the Orioles has a 81% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 5.6 and he has a 41% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Orioles win 73%. In Will Smith quality starts the Royals win 53%. He has a 14% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 53% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Baltimore Orioles is Adam Jones who averaged 2.41 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 41% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Orioles have a 80% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Kansas City Royals is Billy Butler who averaged 1.83 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 29% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Royals have a 51% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 26-31, 46% 653 | Record at Home | 28-26, 52% 47 | Kansas City Royals |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 2-3, 40% -58 | VS Kansas City Royals | 3-2, 60% 114 | Baltimore Orioles |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 26-35, 43% 108 | vs Team Under .500 | 30-20, 60% 1424 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 24-28, 46% 770 | Record As Home Favorite | 15-13, 54% -98 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Will Smith Starts | 2-5, 29% -193 | When Wei-Yin Chen Starts | 14-8, 64% 848 | Baltimore Orioles |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Baltimore Orioles
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 3-7, 30% -170 | Record at Home | 6-6, 50% -58 | Baltimore Orioles |
| VS Baltimore Orioles | 0-0 No Games | VS Kansas City Royals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team .500 or Better | 6-14, 30% -616 | vs Team Under .500 | 5-2, 71% 522 | Baltimore Orioles |
| Record As Road Underdog | 3-6, 33% -70 | Record As Home Favorite | 4-4, 50% -76 | Kansas City Royals |
| When Will Smith Starts | 1-3, 25% -136 | When Wei-Yin Chen Starts | 4-1, 80% 332 | Baltimore Orioles |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Kansas City Royals | RECORD | Baltimore Orioles | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 24-32, 43% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 26-26, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-6, 33% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-6, 45% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 39-37, 51% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 41-38, 52% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Will Smith STARTS | 4-3, 57% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Wei-Yin Chen STARTS | 7-14, 33% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 26-31, 46% +222 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 30-24, 56% +433 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 5-5, 50% +290 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 7-5, 58% +157
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 25-32, 44% -1456 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 31-23, 57% +370 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 6-4, 60% -28 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 8-4, 67% +331
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 21-26, 45% -760 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 25-21, 54% + 190 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Kansas City Royals Road Games: 4-5, 44% -150 Baltimore Orioles Home Games: 7-4, 64% + 260
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