August 08, 2013 4:36 AM UTC

Los Angeles Dodgers vs St. Louis Cardinals 8/8/2013

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The Los Angeles Dodgers are 32-25 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the St. Louis Cardinals who are 33-19 at home. The Dodgers have a better than 55% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Both starters have a relatively low chance of having a quality start. Carlos Martinez has a 36% chance of a QS and Hyun-Jin Ryu a 39% chance. If Carlos Martinez has a quality start the Cardinals has a 59% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.2 and he has a 28% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Cardinals win 48%. If Hyun-Jin Ryu has a quality start the Dodgers has a 72% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3 and he has a 26% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Dodgers win 62%. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the St. Louis Cardinals is Allen Craig who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 32% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Cardinals have a 57% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Los Angeles Dodgers is Yasiel Puig who averaged 2.45 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 42% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Dodgers have a 69% chance of winning.

CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road32-25, 56% 518Record at Home33-19, 63% 207Los Angeles Dodgers
VS St. Louis Cardinals3-3, 50% 70VS Los Angeles Dodgers3-3, 50% 56Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better20-22, 48% -438vs Team .500 or Better21-27, 44% -774Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog12-19, 39% -470Record As Home Favorite31-19, 62% -32St. Louis Cardinals
When Hyun-Jin Ryu Starts15-7, 68% 582When Carlos Martinez Starts0-0 No GamesLos Angeles Dodgers

PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDUNITS EDGE
Record on the Road14-1, 93% 1311Record at Home8-3, 73% 184Los Angeles Dodgers
VS St. Louis Cardinals2-1, 67% 172VS Los Angeles Dodgers1-2, 33% -65Los Angeles Dodgers
vs Team .500 or Better5-2, 71% 303vs Team .500 or Better6-11, 35% -529Los Angeles Dodgers
Record As Road Underdog7-0, 100% 839Record As Home Favorite7-3, 70% 49Los Angeles Dodgers
When Hyun-Jin Ryu Starts4-0, 100% 339When Carlos Martinez Starts0-0 No GamesLos Angeles Dodgers

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under

Los Angeles DodgersRECORDSt. Louis CardinalsRECORDO-U EDGE
OVER-UNDER ON ROAD26-28, 48% OverOVER-UNDER AT HOME24-27, 47% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS7-8, 47% OverROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS5-6, 45% OverUNDER
ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON37-39, 49% OverROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON43-40, 52% OverUNDER
OVER-UNDER IN Hyun-Jin Ryu STARTS13-8, 62% OverOVER-UNDER IN Carlos Martinez STARTS0-0 No GamesN/A

ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.

SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 33-24, 58% +165 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 22-30, 42% -1005 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 9-6, 60% -105 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 4-7, 36% -282

MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 39-18, 68% +1293 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 31-21, 60% -197 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 9-6, 60% +189 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 7-4, 64% -51

OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 26-23, 53% + 70 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 28-21, 57% + 490 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Los Angeles Dodgers Road Games: 7-7, 50% -70 St. Louis Cardinals Home Games: 6-5, 55% + 50

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