Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros 8/6/2012
| AccuScore.com Game Forecast Preview |
The Washington Nationals are 33-21 on the road this season and are heavy favorites to beat the Houston Astros who are 25-27 at home. The Nationals have a better than 60% chance of winning based on 10,000 game simulations generated one play at a time by the AccuScore Simulation Supercomputer. Nationals\' starter Edwin Jackson is forecasted to have a better game than Nationals\' starter Dallas Keuchel. Edwin Jackson has a 46% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Dallas Keuchel has a 28% chance of a QS. If Edwin Jackson has a quality start the Nationals has a 80% chance of winning. His simulated strikeout to walk ratio is 3.7 and he has a 34% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio. When he has a 5/1 ratio the Nationals win 75%. In Dallas Keuchel quality starts the Astros win 54%. He has a 0% chance of having a 5 to 1 K/BB ratio and if he does his team wins 54% of simulations. In simulations we tracked the batter for each team that was most productive based his average hits, walks and RBI per simulation. The most productive batter for the Houston Astros is Brett Wallace who averaged 2.04 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 34% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Astros have a 39% chance of winning. The most productive batter for the Washington Nationals is Michael Morse who averaged 3.29 hits+walks+RBI. He has a 60% chance of having a big game with 3+ Hits, Walks, RBI and if he has a big game the Nationals have a 82% chance of winning.
CURRENT SEASON: We advise relying on these trends after the first 6 to 8 weeks of the season. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 33-21, 61% 1077 | Record at Home | 25-27, 48% 161 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Houston Astros | 3-1, 75% 53 | VS Washington Nationals | 1-3, 25% -152 | Washington Nationals |
| vs Team Under .500 | 41-22, 65% 1155 | vs Team .500 or Better | 16-44, 27% -2120 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 19-11, 63% 378 | Record as Home Underdog | 18-24, 43% -113 | Washington Nationals |
| When Edwin Jackson Starts | 7-13, 35% -581 | When Dallas Keuchel Starts | 1-6, 14% -494 | Houston Astros |
PAST 30 DAYS: We advise incorporating these trends along with the current Season after the first 6 to 8 weeks. UNITS EDGE FAVORS: Washington Nationals
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | UNITS EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record on the Road | 8-3, 73% 388 | Record at Home | 2-7, 22% -424 | Washington Nationals |
| VS Houston Astros | 0-0 No Games | VS Washington Nationals | 0-0 No Games | N/A |
| vs Team Under .500 | 14-6, 70% 454 | vs Team .500 or Better | 2-14, 12% -1080 | Washington Nationals |
| Record as Road Favorite | 5-2, 71% 148 | Record as Home Underdog | 2-7, 22% -424 | Washington Nationals |
| When Edwin Jackson Starts | 1-3, 25% -179 | When Dallas Keuchel Starts | 0-3, 0% -300 | Washington Nationals |
OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under
| Washington Nationals | RECORD | Houston Astros | RECORD | O-U EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OVER-UNDER ON ROAD | 21-27, 44% Over | OVER-UNDER AT HOME | 25-25, 50% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 3-7, 30% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER PAST 30 DAYS | 5-4, 56% Over | UNDER |
| ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 35-41, 46% Over | ROAD OVER-UNDER LAST SEASON | 49-32, 60% Over | OVER |
| OVER-UNDER IN Edwin Jackson STARTS | 9-10, 47% Over | OVER-UNDER IN Dallas Keuchel STARTS | 5-1, 83% Over | N/A |
ACCUSCORE ADVISOR: AccuScore simulates every game thousands of times one play at a time. We are the industry standard in sports forecasting and the only company to be paid for sports picks and predictions by the biggest sports companies in the world. Our newest product, the AccuScore Advisor, provides Side Value, Money Line and Over-Under picks for every MLB game and rates them as One, Two, Three or Four Star picks. Three and Four Star picks have delivered over +10,000 units of profit the past 2 seasons. Visit AccuScore.com to find out what AccuScore\'s Advisor recommends for this game. The following trends are AccuScore\'s RIGHT-WRONG records and units (+/-) when making picks involving these teams.
SIDE VALUE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 26-28, 48% -827 Houston Astros Home Games: 30-22, 58% +812 SIDE VALUE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 8-3, 73% +113 Houston Astros Home Games: 7-2, 78% +408
MONEY LINE (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 33-21, 61% +670 Houston Astros Home Games: 26-26, 50% -524 MONEY LINE (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 9-2, 82% +561 Houston Astros Home Games: 7-2, 78% +273
OVER-UNDER RECORD (Current Season) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 23-20, 53% + 100 Houston Astros Home Games: 25-19, 57% + 410 OVER-UNDER RECORD (PAST 30 DAYS) - Washington Nationals Road Games: 6-3, 67% + 270 Houston Astros Home Games: 4-5, 44% -150
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